A1 Journal article (refereed), original research

An energy transition pathway for Turkey to achieve 100% renewable energy powered electricity, desalination and non-energetic industrial gas demand sectors by 2050

Publication Details
Authors: Kilickaplan Anil, Bogdanov Dmitrii, Peker Onur, Caldera Upeksha, Aghahosseini Arman, Breyer Christian
Publisher: Elsevier
Publication year: 2017
Language: English
Related Journal or Series Information: Solar Energy
Volume number: 158
Start page: 218
End page: 235
Number of pages: 18
ISSN: 0038-092X
JUFO-Level of this publication: 2
Open Access: Not an Open Access publication


In this research, Turkey’s energy transition towards 100% renewable
energy (RE) until 2050 is analysed by using an hourly resolved model.
Turkey is structured into seven geographical regions and all assumptions
and data are collected and applied separately for the regions. The
energy transition is simulated for two scenarios: a power sector
scenario and power sector plus desalination and non-energetic industrial
gas demand (integrated) scenario. Turkey has an enormous solar energy
potential, which leads to an installed solar PV capacity of 287 GW (71% of total installed capacity) in the power scenario and 387 GW
(73% of total installed capacity) in the integrated scenario in 2050.
Solar PV and other installed RE systems are balanced by storage systems
to increase the flexibility of the system. Levelised cost of electricity
increased slightly in the power scenario, from a fossil fuel based
system with 63 €/MW hel in 2015 to a fully RE-based system with 65.4 €/MWhel in 2050. The capacity mix in the power scenario entirely built for the assumptions of the year 2050 led to a cost of 51 €/MW hel, which can also be expected in the periods beyond 2050. In the integrated scenario, however, the costs decreased from 60.3 €/MW hel to 57.3 €/MWhel,
mainly due to the benefit of sector coupling. A 100% RE system reduces
energy import dependency and carbon emissions, while reducing the cost
of energy supply.

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Last updated on 2018-19-10 at 07:55